Appliances In The Second Quarter Because Of Slower Growth And Investment Advice

Air conditioningWhite
, Refrigerator, washing machine and other whiteValuation of the company relative to the historical
Home Appliancesperspective has been a significant discount (white
Second-quarter domestic sales growth slowed,valuation relative to the market valuation of 0.86
because of the following points: in the first quarter istimes the historical average multiple of 0.91 times),
expected to slightly positive air conditioning dealers,we believe that there is underestimation of the value,
delivery volume higher; air conditioning salesnot much room down is the safer side defensive
accounting for the higher rainfall south ones, on theindustry configuration. If the real estate of the
air conditioning sales have a negative impact; inflationsecond half in line with our expectations, that is an
inhibition of terminal economic environment consumerarea of real estate sales down 10%, corresponding
demand, and the weather is not very strongto 2.5% decline in air conditioning demand, then sales
correlationgrowth will be better than market expectations, the
Refrigeratorindustry will rebound in the best catalyst for the
,valuation.
Washing machineOur four key tracking performance of the company's
And other large home appliances sales in May alsomid-year report is still good growth: expected Gree,
found a sharp slowdown in growth.Supor, Midea and Haier's revenue growth was 30%,
Industry will enhance the advantage of the plight of35%, 50%, 25 %; net profit growth of 100%, 35%,
the brand market position. (1) 34 Market growth is30% and 35%.
still good growth in 12, with 34 network advantageInvestment case
of the brand will continue to benefit. (2) The industryInvestment rating and valuation
needs to end and cost-side pressures will promoteThe short term, our industry's rating to "neutral."
the survival of the fittest. Market hot for many smallEncounter the second quarter, "cool summer"
and medium born brand is being phased out, industryweather blow, industry growth is slowing down, while
growth is still the best brand Gree, Haier, Midea brandthe economic slowdown, demand for various types
this line. (3) growth of high-end products well, but theof home appliances significant signs of slowing.
growth of foreign brands than domestic brands, whyWhite according to the history of valuation, we
not? Cost pressures, the foreign brands trying tobelieve that valuation than the market currently white
pass through price increases cost pressures, but theoverall valuation discount level is already lower than
economic downturn affecting the demandthe historical average (white valuation relative to the
experience, pass the conductivity weaker, while themarket valuation of 0.86 times the historical average
relative advantage of a price advantage of domesticmultiple of 0.91 times), the valuation is safer. If
brands is made for better performance.growth in the second half of the industry trends
Steady growth the first half. Although the May tradebetter than the second quarter, the valuation will
data disclosed by a wide margin decline, but the firstrebound.
5 months of comprehensive point of view, theKey assumptions point
growth rate remained relatively stable. In addition toAssumptions within the real estate sales on the
air conditioning, the total sales of home appliancesimpact of air conditioning lagged half a year, and
continues to maintain growth above 20% growth. Airdecoration-driven air-conditioning demand of new
conditioning factors by short-term weather ahomes accounted for 25%; export growth is
temporary downturn. Although the air conditioningconsistent with the first half; products on schedule to
because of the weather factors that causes lowachieve structural adjustment to the pressure of
growth in the short term the situation there, but therising costs for raw materials pass .
view from the price movements of air conditioningDifferent from the general public's understanding
products, 1-May, the average rose nearly 5%, stillMarket may think: in the first half of the growth
continue to optimize the product structure. Improvetrend is likely to mean that white industry growth
the energy efficiency of air conditioning industry isinflection point, a serious slowdown in growth will be
facing the industry upgrade.the trend, and the real estate industry's negative
Valuation discount relative to the market has beenimpact on the air conditioning will be larger, interim
low by historical standards. From a valuationresults will be lower than the industry expected.
perspective, the current