| Modern communication technology has allowed China | | | | American-esque resource providers and vacation |
| to achieve a centralized bureaucracy that has a | | | | destinations. We can see that if China takes on |
| smaller chance of becoming overextended and too | | | | Japanese level importance in high technology exports, |
| top heavy. The danger, of parts of central | | | | they'll be able to then finally consolidate nationally and |
| government melting into regional structures with | | | | relax the amount of force needed to keep social |
| rebellious consequences, is diminishing every year. | | | | stability. |
| The risk is not totally gone however if rapid | | | | In a few decades, the communist leadership in Beijing |
| economic growth bumps into serious stagnation and | | | | will then be able to claim that not only did they bring |
| even GDP reversal. As of today, China has the | | | | the nation out of poverty but they: |
| creaky uneven centralization of 18th century France | | | | 1) beat Westerners at their own game like Japan did |
| and is gleefully engaged in large scale mercantilist | | | | (but without a period of war over resources) |
| practices. | | | | 2) created real feeling of nationalism, inter-ethnic |
| Chinese society is not yet fully urbanized and | | | | peace, and modern nation state like Chiang Kai Chek |
| consolidated. Beijing cannot yet engage in cutting | | | | wanted |
| edge mercantilist practices as done by Japan and | | | | 3) avoided Soviet Union's mistakes when undergoing |
| Singapore. Chinese political center only recently | | | | Perestroika while properly utilizing communist fruits of |
| overcame last remnants of feudalism, warlordism, and | | | | mass literacy and emphasis on science/engineering |
| peripheral regional integration. Having dealt with that, | | | | 4) took the torch from United States as the Global |
| China is pursuing the same economic path that | | | | role model when it comes to free trade, peaceful |
| allowed Kaiser's Germany to rapidly grow by taking | | | | co-existence, lack of harmful interference in other |
| advantage of British post-mercantilist free trade | | | | societies' business, isolationism, respect for borders of |
| period. It is very historically appropriate. There is no | | | | small states, and business cooperation |
| need for Beijing to emulate Spanish, British, or French | | | | 5) built more for the developing world than the |
| mercantilist experiences. | | | | financially oriented English speakers by swapping |
| For a nation of 5 year plans, it makes sense to try | | | | resources for real engineering construction projects |
| to skip developmental steps and leap from | | | | 6) helped create a stabilizing one world currency for |
| macroeconomics of Kaiser's Germany to those of | | | | more even international development |
| Japan. As of today, China has done rapid | | | | Such claims will allow Communist party to win election |
| neomercantilist development by the book: | | | | after election for a number of decades even if they |
| 1) Government imposed positive trade balance | | | | then allow political pluralism. Many Asian states |
| through protectionism and currency control (yuan | | | | continued to have one party rule for decades even |
| pegged to the dollar) | | | | after democratizing. Cultural collectivism and emphasis |
| 2) Self sufficiency in agriculture and manufacturing of | | | | on agreement allows power elites to work smoothly |
| basic to advanced goods | | | | together. Taking into account Britain's experience, |
| 3) Acquisition of large amounts of money and gold | | | | China can easily continue to pragmatically evolve, build |
| (around a trillion dollars worth as of 2009). Controls to | | | | a financial center through Hong Kong, bring new |
| prevent wealth from flowing out of the country | | | | resources (such as Helium 3 from space exploration), |
| through protectionist restrictions on imports | | | | and guide humanity by being its center of progress. |
| 4) Large scale mining and infrastructural projects to | | | | History has shown that leading global elites will not |
| increase use of domestic resources and terrain. | | | | allow such unimpeded ascendancy. Cutting off |
| Hamilton and Quinsy Adams would be proud of what | | | | resources and containment is too blatantly hostile. |
| Beijing's coastal elite have achieved in the last 20 | | | | Japan and Imperial Germany have demonstrated that. |
| years. China has also secured 60% of Africa's | | | | Advanced hybrid of mercantilism and free trade |
| resource exports and are structurally integrating | | | | (from a society strong enough economically and |
| Central Asia and Siberian Russia into their resource | | | | technologically) will be the only way to |
| feeding network. | | | | counterbalance Chinese ascendancy. Only European |
| 5) Keeping the overall population's wages low to | | | | Union with English and Russian speaking allies has |
| increase country's overall manufacturing exports. That | | | | what it takes to effectively compete and prevent |
| is easily accomplished by underdevelopment of | | | | formation of a long term hegemon that is culturally |
| Western provinces like Tibet. One child policy is more | | | | and psychologically uncomfortable for Westerners. |
| imposed on the wealthier Mandarin ruling coalition than | | | | Earlier in the article, it was mentioned how Chinese |
| the periphery ethnic groups. Uneven implementation | | | | bureaucracy, has a small chance of being destabilized |
| of one child policy keeps periphery ethnic groups | | | | again. There is precedent for this happening at |
| more fertile and poorer. Coastal urban ruling peoples | | | | numerous times in China's history with horrible civil |
| spend more energies on advanced wealth generating | | | | wars and revolts from poorer less developed |
| employment rather than saving to augment multiple | | | | periphery. China's gini index, that shows country's |
| children. | | | | income inequality between the rich and the poor, |
| 6) Keeping of imports limited to natural resources and | | | | shows that China is even more economically unequal |
| large scale buy outs of foreign expert talent in | | | | than United States. Today, Beijing's authoritarian rule |
| anything from engineering, electronics, economics, | | | | keeps the lid on trouble from elites from either the |
| and hard sciences | | | | oligarch coastal factions, rural/regional factions, and |
| Current opinion and international action has just been | | | | urban West emulating liberals. |
| reactive so far. Westerners are mainly focused on | | | | European Union's job, to deal with the near future, |
| China's attempts to prevent rapid devaluing of the | | | | involves: |
| bought dollars (before all of them are eventually used | | | | 1) Being proactive rather than reactive to Chinese, |
| on natural resources anyway) through creation of an | | | | American, or Russian moves |
| international reserve currency . Some look on how | | | | 2) Acquiring valuable allies to augment influence. That |
| the international recession, can be used by China, to | | | | means working first with Russia to kick American |
| move from less advanced manufacturing to price | | | | British influence out of central Europe and then with |
| competing with Germans and Japanese when it | | | | England to push American influence out of NATO. |
| comes to advanced electronics and electric cars. | | | | NATO can then be ended and America approached |
| Chinese confidence in constructively criticizing the | | | | as an equal power to work with. |
| existing international economic system is often noted. | | | | 3) Being pragmatic and not looking at human rights |
| Very little attention has been paid to the implications | | | | when acquiring resources from other nations. Europe |
| of the world being pulled into a mercantilist | | | | still has time to lock onto substantial amounts of |
| arrangement. China is becoming more predictable and | | | | resource exports from the third world, especially |
| thus out-maneuverable. Originally, Britain became | | | | Africa. It can join Russia in developing the Arctic |
| economically successful because it added free trade | | | | energy reserves and help Russia outbid Chinese |
| theory onto mercantilist practice earlier than Spain or | | | | resource extraction/exploration companies in Central |
| France. It stayed one step ahead of the competition. | | | | Asia. |
| However, the new economic hybrid has created | | | | 4) Consolidate EU structures, such as the European |
| oligarchal capitalist interests who then used liberal | | | | Parliament, so more coherent action can be |
| theory to reduce state's involvement in the | | | | undertaken with more popular trans European |
| economy. Wealthy exporting interests (who | | | | legitimacy. |
| controlled the house of commons and people's | | | | 5) Use advanced collective protectionist methods to |
| opinion through printed media) used appeals to | | | | keep an edge in high technology products to stay a |
| individual freedom to dismantle the mercantilist/free | | | | step ahead of China. Contribute even more |
| trade hybrid that made Britain powerful and wealthy | | | | constructively to global currency formation through |
| to begin with. Britain coasted along but economically | | | | IMF where Westerners still dominate. |
| declined as hybrid societies were able to build up new | | | | 6) Work with United States and England to manage |
| waves of industrial assets through neomercantilist | | | | the geopolitical, social, and economic decline of United |
| practices (Germany/ United States). As Britain | | | | States peacefully and productively. Invite young |
| declined in industrial might, it focused on its core | | | | American professionals to European Union to displace |
| strength of money management and that lead to the | | | | social pressures from relying on less assimilative |
| torch being passed down to Wall Street in the 20th | | | | Muslim immigrants. Become the stable adult co-equal |
| century. The great competing banking hubs of | | | | mediator between Russia and United States so the |
| Europe (Paris, Berlin, Moscow) were looted in the | | | | two former superpowers can productively contribute |
| wars/revolutions. We now see what happens when | | | | and provide nuclear protection. Open borders to |
| banking and finance is the core strength and | | | | young educated Westerners from around the world |
| emphasis of the economy. | | | | to counterbalance aging of Europe. |
| China is now in the process of moving to the final | | | | 7) Develop strong ties to regional powers like Japan |
| stage of manufacturing asset concentration through | | | | and India to counterbalance Chinese cultural influence. |
| focus on development of advanced products like | | | | To do that, rapidly expand economic cooperation |
| cars and computers. Rapid economic assimilation of | | | | with them in the sphere of building climate change |
| Taiwan and Hong Kong will quickly aid in that process. | | | | infrastructure, energy, military, and space |
| Western investment in Taiwan created a base for | | | | 8) Comprehensively educate the public on climate |
| high technology and competitive know how. Many | | | | change and loss of technological edge to China in |
| Taiwanese oligarchs have already basically integrated | | | | non-confrontational terms. Take the lead in |
| their companies with mainland ones. Ideologically, | | | | recognizing petty-infighting (like Poland's mistrust of |
| Taiwan's Kuomintang political center, can now | | | | Russian cooperation in Europe) and offer tangible |
| smoothly cooperate with Chinese authorities. People | | | | economic/developmental incentives to major actors |
| forget how important socialism was in Chiang Kai | | | | to overcome them. |
| Chek's original nationalist ideology. | | | | Brussels has enough time to still effectively |
| Very soon, China will begin manufacture of high | | | | consolidate before China does. It will require the |
| technology goods to compete with Germany and | | | | same long term vision, developmental eye, and good |
| Japan for markets in Russia, Europe, and North | | | | historical sense as the one possessed by their |
| America (as well as lower end cheap electric cars sold | | | | Chinese politburo counterparts. Europe is more |
| to developing nations). They will be forced to utilize | | | | economically egalitarian than China. It has more power |
| existing free trade international system (perhaps | | | | elites and cutting edge professionals. It must find a |
| stabilized by IMF's Special Drawing Rights currency | | | | way to be protected by Russo-American nuclear |
| basket) to push these products abroad. | | | | umbrella (without being controlled by them) so not |
| How would Chinese like to see the world once their | | | | too much money is spent on integrated European |
| products flow onto middle class Western markets? | | | | defense. Together, Western peoples of the world |
| They would like to see no protectionism from | | | | got close to a billion people and have as much of a |
| Europe, Russia, Japan, or North America. They would | | | | shot as Chinese (less than half the Chinese speak the |
| like to see rule of law and capitalist adherence from | | | | ruling dialect of Mandarin). Western civilization has the |
| everybody in the world. They'd be fine with North | | | | qualitative expertise to provide solid competition that |
| America and Europe reduced to South | | | | will benefit all of humanity. |