Globalised Economic World and Regionalised Political Orders Must Harmonise

Yesterday, Britain's prime minister, Gordon Brown,measures have not been able to stem the panic
called for a "new global order" to deal with thesince. According to Kissinger, "international order will
economic crisis and warned against the protectionistnot come about either in the political or economic
policies that were put in place in the 1930s.field until there emerge general rules toward which
Tackling issues on the global economy, the primecountries can orient themselves," and also that "in the
minister said that a "radical step-up in globalend, the political and economic systems can be
cooperation" was necessary to prevent theharmonised in only one of two ways: by creating an
emergence of "financial mercantilism".international political regulatory system with the same
On the same day, Timothy F Geithner asserted thatreach as that of the economic world; or by shrinking
"China manipulates its currency". This was indeedthe economic units to a size manageable by existing
unhelpful, to say the least, as Sino-American detentepolitical structures, which is likely to lead to a new
and cooperation is the essence of Brown'smercantilism, perhaps of regional units. A new Bretton
statements on creating a new global order.Woods kind of global agreement is by far the
Just prior to Barack Obama's inauguration, Henrypreferable outcome."
Kissinger wrote the most erudite piece, "The worldThis underlying threat is perhaps what sparked the
must forge a new order or retreat to chaos".euphoria surrounding President Obama's inauguration
In it he analysed the "grave financial and internationaland the unrealistic and unprecedented expectations
crises", saying that the financial collapse represents aput on his new administration. And while that was
"major blow to the standing of the United States ingoing on the actors on the world's political stage
the eyes of the world", and that "every country willwere "avowing their desire to undertake the
have to reassess its own contribution to thetransformations imposed on them by the world crisis
prevailing crisis. Each will seek to make itselfin collaboration with the United States".
independent, to the greatest possible degree, of theAnd in all this we cannot forget China, which has
conditions that produced the collapse".witnessed its export markets being mauled, with
Because of the economic exuberance, he said, a "gapworries that should its growth rate fall below the
had opened up between the economic and the7.5% range, political stability in the country could
political organisation of the world." What he meant bybecome a real problem. It thus begs the question of
this, and this is by far the most pertinent idea in thehow China and America deal with the crisis.
article, is that while the economic world has beenOn the one hand Kissinger is asking that the
globalised, the political order has not and that "everyglobalised economic order and the silo-based political
major country has attempted to solve its immediateorder to come tangentially into line. But how can the
problems essentially on its own and to defer commontwo systems, wholly different in both architecture
action to a later, less crisis-driven point."and culture, be fused into a union that is able to deal
Both America and the UK are in a woeful economicwith this depression? And what if protectionism
state, with one The Daily Mail editorial pointing outgrows in either country and becomes adversarial in
that if the second tranche of the bank bailouts failsnature? That would have long-lasting and devastating
to stimulate the economy, the country itself will belong-term consequences on every country the world
bankrupt. One could argue it has been since theover.
Second World War but if Gordon Brown's so-calledKissinger argues that "the Sino-American relationship
saving the world policies fail at home, which theneeds to be taken to a new level", to reshape
financial press largely think it might, it would send anrelations "into a design for a common destiny, much
almost doomsday-like message to the world and itsas was done with trans-Atlantic relations in the
markets.postwar period".
Rescue packages have been set up on a piecemeal,But can his vision of an international order be
national basis and, for most countries, with unlimitedpermanent? Can it work? Obama's inaugural address
credit guarantees by governments. So far, none ofsought to build bridges in a vision of hope, but with all
these tactics seem to have reined in the maelstromthe conflicts that are currently dogging the world, will
from rescuing more industries from bankruptcy.the depression be the healer of these divisions or will
In part, it was run-away domestic credit thatit explode into a disastrous new world disorder and
produced the crash in the first place and thesewar?